The 2026 MLB season has kicked off with a bang, and the Deep League risers and fallers are shaping up to be a fascinating bunch. From record-breaking contracts to surprising performances, the early season has already delivered some intriguing storylines. Let's dive into the analysis and commentary on these players and their impact on the league.
Risers
Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers
Garrett Mitchell is a fast runner and a powerful hitter, but his history of injuries and low games played is a concern. However, his current health and strong performance are a cause for optimism. With a .333/.419/.556 line, 13 RBI, and a 13% walk rate, Mitchell is a clear riser. His high exit velocity, hard hit rate, and barrel rate are impressive, despite his high whiff rate. The fact that he's maintained a strong walk rate throughout his career is a positive sign, and his ability to use his wheels even when not on base is a valuable asset. I prefer him to Doyle and would make the swap.
Joe Boyle, Tampa Bay Rays
Joe Boyle, a tall and athletic pitcher, has improved his walk rate and added a new pitch to his arsenal. His 96 MPH heater and improved walk rate are a significant step forward. Boyle's 3.18 ERA and .88 WHIP over his first two starts are encouraging, and his 13:3 strikeout-to-walk ratio is a testament to his improved control. The addition of a sinker and sweeper to his repertoire has given him a wider selection of pitches, and his improved walk rate suggests a real step forward. The question remains whether he can keep his spot in the rotation once Ryan Pepiot returns from the IL.
Cole Young, Seattle Mariners
Cole Young, a second baseman, has gotten off to a strong start with a .256/.310/.513 line and two homers. However, his underlying rates don't suggest a legitimate breakout. His strong plate discipline last season, with a 25% chase rate and 18% K rate, is a positive sign. But his current chase rate is over 30%, his whiff rate is over 27%, and his K rate has increased while his walk rate has slipped. His power surge is questionable, and he's unlikely to provide many dingers or steals. I think he'll be a better source of batting average and on-base percentage but may struggle with runs and RBI.
Fallers
Moisés Ballesteros, Chicago Cubs
Moisés Ballesteros, a catcher, has struggled with a 3-16 line and 6 strikeouts in his first five games. His lack of at-bats and sitting against left-handed starters and righties is a concern. If he doesn't get enough playing time, his fantasy value will be limited. His minor league numbers and cup of coffee call-up in 2025 were promising, but his current performance is a disappointment. I would hold him in two-catcher leagues or leagues with deep benches, but in other formats, I'd look for other options.
Brandon Sproat, Milwaukee Brewers
Brandon Sproat, a starting pitcher, had a disappointing debut with a 14.85 ERA and 2.55 WHIP. His performance against the White Sox was not encouraging, and his bulk appearances after an opener are not ideal in certain leagues. Despite a discouraging start, I want to see Sproat throw his 97 MPH heaters and improve his performance before making any drastic decisions. His path to playing time in Milwaukee is clearer, and his effectiveness as a Brewer is a positive sign.
Brenton Doyle, Colorado Rockies
Brenton Doyle, an outfielder, is off to a terrible start with a .129/.206/.161 line. His 2024 campaign was promising, but his home/away splits and chase/whiff rates are a cause for concern. Doyle's performance is a fantasy headache, and his 2025 splits were even more dramatic. His power and steal potential are limited, and his current performance is a disappointment. I would be cautious with Doyle, as his big 2024 numbers may not be sustainable.
In conclusion, the 2026 MLB season has already delivered some intriguing storylines and performances. The risers, such as Garrett Mitchell and Joe Boyle, are showing promise, while the fallers, like Moisés Ballesteros and Brenton Doyle, are struggling. The early season is a time for experimentation and adjustment, and the Deep League risers and fallers are a testament to the league's ever-changing dynamics.
